当领导力阻碍你的事前剖析(预演失败)时

  • Pre-Mortem Overview: Leadership resistance to pre-mortem shows if org prioritizes comfortable narratives over preventing failure. It's a 60-minute risk technique that surfaces problems other planning methods miss.
  • Risk Mitigation Magic: Traditional risk planning asks "what might go wrong," while pre-mortem assumes initiative failed. It breaks open discussions, gets real risks out, and leads to shared understanding and actions.
  • Basics of Pre-Mortem: In a 60-minute session, everyone writes down reasons for failure, clusters them, votes on critical ones, and digs deeper on failure details, early warnings, and prevention plans.
  • Objectives from Leadership Level Against Pre-Mortems:

    • "We Don't Have Time for Another Workshop": It shows the org values appearance of progress over substance, not valuing 60 minutes for pressure-testing initiatives.
    • "This Is Too Negative, It Will Demotivate People": It reveals confusion between optimism and competence. Motivated teams face reality and have plans, while those avoiding it are brittle.
    • "We Already Manage Risk": It exposes a category error, as having a risk register is not the same as having risk awareness. Pre-mortem uses collective intelligence.
  • Conclusion: Leadership's objections to pre-mortem show the org prefers comfortable narratives. It indicates a cultural dysfunction deeper than risk profile. But the information can be used to make better decisions about energy investment and battles worth fighting.
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