All technologies will eventually evolve into infrastructure.
On June 11, 2022, the 4th phase of the Kechuangren · Digital Intelligence Future Private Board was held online. This event was jointly held by Kechuangren, Beihang Investment, and Fangyun Intelligence; Wei Qing, Chief Technology Officer of Microsoft (China) As the keynote speaker of this event, he joined hands with 14 senior corporate decision-makers to conduct in-depth discussions on the future of digital intelligence.
Science and Technology People · Digital Intelligence Future Private Board Activity Review of the 3rd Issue | "The Story of the Dog's Tail - First Principles in the Age of Digital Intelligence"
The guests at the meeting are: Wei Qing, CTO of Microsoft (China), Zhang Zhixiang, founder and CEO of Lingque Technology, Huang Gong, founder and CEO of Shifang Technology, Zhou Beichuan, founder and CEO of Zhongke Yunchuang, Wang Jianfei, general manager of Beihang Investment, and China Coal Information Technology. Chief Expert Huang Shaojie, Founder & CEO of Tianyun Data Lei Tao, Director of Information Security and Risk Management Division of Science and Technology and Product Administration of Agricultural Bank of China He Qiao, Founder & CEO of Soler Technology Cao Hongbin, Partner of Huachuang Capital Xie Jia, Bank of Beijing Jin Zheng, Deputy General Manager of Fintech Product R&D Department (auditing), Chen Hongying, Investment Director of Beihang Investment (auditing), Yu Ren, Founder & CEO of Fangyun Intelligent, and Ren Xuefeng, Founder & CEO of Zhuoyi Intelligent Evidence for Transformation: Survivor Bias and the Blind Touching the Elephant. In such a complex era in which "black swans" and "grey rhinos" are emerging one after another, how to cultivate and master the ability to deal with complex challenges is the original intention of this series of activities. The event mentioned key information such as Chinese history, differences between Eastern and Westernization, technological revolution, survivorship bias, digital immigration, and technical decision-making, business decision-making, and social decision-making. Metaphysical exchange of philosophical ideas.
01 Instruct guest Wei Qing to share the theme of "Evidence of Transformation - Survivor's Bias and the Blind Touching the Elephant"
Today I share, combined with my personal experience.
New technology will become the infrastructure. I have been in the communications industry for a long time, and the early feelings were not so obvious, but in recent years, I have learned a lot of the ideas of McLuhan, Baudrillard and other philosophical masters, and I feel more and more that information Changes in transmission methods are likely to bring about major changes to our entire social form.
I personally experienced the earliest digital transformation in the laser phototypesetting industry. In the words of Professor Wang Xuan of Peking University, it turned lead and fire into light and dots; I personally experienced the complete transformation process of landlines, pagers, mobile phones, and smart phones, and finally entered the operation In the field of systems, these experiences have given me a personal understanding of what is called communication, what is data, and what is computing, from ignorance to belief.
About seven or eight years ago, I participated in the e-commerce conference in Mianyang. When the Internet + was very popular, I expressed a view that no one would mention the Internet + boom 10 years later. At that time, everyone thought it was incredible; now The metaverse and artificial intelligence we are talking about will also pass, which may not be acceptable to everyone, but my understanding is: more than 100 years ago, many companies around the world were competing for market share of electricity, but in the end, it was discovered that the application of electricity It is the real value. Only when electricity is empowered in specific business scenarios can it generate higher profits, and electricity itself eventually becomes the infrastructure, which is grasped by the country as a whole with stable but meager profits.
The same is true of informatization, all technologies will eventually become infrastructure. The epidemic will accelerate this process. History tells us that there will be big changes after the epidemic, and we must prepare for the new normal.
If you are still surprised by the news, you should reflect on the fact that everyone is talking about keeping cash flow and surviving this round of turmoil. Many companies have closed their doors, but the companies that can really survive may have a very good life.
For individuals and companies doing technology, this is an era that is needed by society and is our high point of value. We need to look ahead and deduce the future based on some signs. It has been three or four months since the launch of "Technology Creation People: Digital Intelligence Future Private Board". I believe that Mr. Lei Tao, Mr. Jianfei, Mr. Yu and everyone here have the same experience. A lot has happened that has completely changed our basic worldview and our perception of the current situation. Do any of your friends think it's almost over for today? We'd better believe that in the next two or three months, there will be another thing that you think "I seem to have witnessed history again".
In the next five to ten years, we will continue to witness history.
The times are constantly creating surprises, and corporate decision makers should be careful. What do these surprises represent? Are our expectations too high? Is it because we still have some fantasies about reality, and still haven’t been able to calmly discern the truth of reality?
In the era of once-in-500-year upheaval, I believe more and more from the bottom of my heart that the challenges and changes we are facing now are very close to the age when the Gutenberg printing press was born. A technological change gave birth to the centuries-long information revolution, Religious revolution, scientific revolution, industrial revolution... I admire McLuhan and Baudrillard because they have already explained the metaverse and digital twins clearly from the philosophical level and the level of human social development.
We are facing a new Renaissance, a scientific revolution, an Enlightenment, much more than the Fourth Industrial Revolution. In this era, we need to do the following things:
- Only the paranoid can survive, adapt and learn at any time.
- Bad news will be the majority, learn from bad news, and strive to increase the probability of good news.
- Keep asking yourself: what are we doing, doing technology? Or are they providing solutions for a certain stage of human society development? Don't lie to yourself, it's easy for people to want to lie to others, and others do not believe in themselves but believe it.
- innovation.
When paying attention to digital aborigines, we must know that we are all immigrants in the digital world. We must be careful about innovation. Our innovation is a day one in the minds of the aborigines, and we cannot be self-satisfied. The habit I have developed now is to communicate more with young people. Children, middle school students, and high school students must not ignore the opinions of young people because of their so-called achievements. It is precisely we who will eventually be eliminated by the times.
02 Guest Free Exchange Chapter Summary of Golden Sentences
Lei Tao, Founder & CEO of Tianyun Data - With the explosion of human knowledge and information overload, it is difficult to classify the existing knowledge systems one by one. The refinement of the division of labor in the technology industry track means that our investment in each subset will go to the black one by one. Our cognitive boundary is like a circle. The longer the knowledge structure, the larger the radius, the longer the perimeter, and the more unknown areas it faces.
- Through technical means, including the future BCI brain machine, after these are opened, I believe that human beings will form a new kind of group intelligence. A new consensus across races, civilizations, religions.
Zhou Beichuan Musk, founder and CEO of Zhongke Yunchuang, usually starts with the end in mind, envisioning what may happen in the next few years, and then backwards what to do now, and even some superspace theories believe that everything we do now is is determined by future results. Microsoft originally had a methodology called backwards image. For example, if we want to convince the CIO to set up an IT system, first of all, it is not about how many processes it has and how many numerical problems it can help him solve. Instead, help him build a scene where he can sit on the beach and work one day, and from this onwards, what should be done the day before and what should be done now. This has helped me a lot during my 10 years at Microsoft.
Huang Shaojie, Chief Expert of China Coal Information Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. I used to be an extremely sharp technician. I tried some hostile ways to promote reform, so I suffered losses in the first two jobs. The summed up experience is that I believe that the reform should be integrated first and then gradually, first to obtain the recognition of its own capabilities by the enterprise, and then to establish an endorsement for itself through the enterprise, and then implement the reform. Make more friends, less enemies, and aim for a win-win situation and progress together. Whether it's a business client or a personal relationship.
Founder & CEO of Shifang Technology, Huang Gong - The change brought about by digitalization is to explore new business models or basis in the process of promotion, just like the process of blind man touching an elephant, constantly recognizing the future direction of the industry, and continuing to maintain competitiveness, understand the pain points of the industry, and find A perfect landing solution.
- How to break through the dilemma of survivorship deviation, as far as our industry is concerned, is to send more experts and doctors to the front-line experience. They not only need to think about the value empowerment of technology to the business, but also have a deep understanding of the value of technology to the entire organization and industry. Promote more organizations and forces to accelerate the digital transformation of the industry, and achieve a more comprehensive understanding of things through multi-party participation, so as to get rid of the survivorship bias.
Zhang Zhixiang, Founder & CEO of Lingque Technology
- Enterprise development needs to introduce new blood. When introducing external executives, there are two things that should be done: the first step is to become one's own person, first to try to understand the enterprise and respect the history of the enterprise; the second step to implement their own ideas and ideas into In implementation.
- Reform must be gradual. Change is too fast and people are panicking. If you don’t do it, it will not work. Even if you do it, it may not work. This is also a survivorship bias.
- At present, among the innovative things of all of you, it must be someone else's cake. Who to develop into a partner? Who do you develop into yourself? There is no way to face the choice, and we must fight against these things.
Cao Hongbin, Founder & CEO of Soler Technology - My sense of management rhythm is to manage through decentralization, including a flat and efficient executive team: for example, most of the teams are post-90s and post-00s. Their ability to carry, the degree of responsibility for events, and the overall sense of rhythm exceed expectations. They do not accept chicken soup for the soul, brainwashing and inheritance of previous experience, but the final result is indeed what the company wants, but too much intervention will have a negative impact.
- In the process of rapid growth of the enterprise, the personnel must be greatly in and out. It is equivalent to the audition. After the funnel, only those with a high degree of convergence will stay at the level of will, technology, including cognition.
03 Teacher Wei Qing recommends books
04 "Manifesto of Mathematical Thinking"
The demo version of the "Declaration of Digital Thinking" builds digital thinking, which should respond to complex changes that have not been seen in thousands of years.
The projection of thinking and wisdom in the dimension of language is the basic theory of the system and some highly abstract principles.
As the event draws to a close, Kechuang people put the most important part of the event - "Declaration of Mathematical Thinking" for the guests on the spot, which aims to precipitate the principles condensed from new wisdom and new ideas into a chapter, so that it can be easily disseminated , easy to empower, guide behavior, assist decision-making, and build the ideological base of a new paradigm in the era of disintegration of the old paradigm.
The "Declaration of Mathematical Thinking" was jointly initiated by Kechuang and Mr. Wei Qing. In the future, the wisdom, opinions and discussion conclusions of more like-minded people will be integrated in multiple private board meetings to form a consensus version with behavioral guidance or solving practical problems. Guidelines. It will eventually be signed and published by all participants. *The discussion of the "Declaration of Mathematical Thinking" is not limited to the private board of directors. All readers can participate. You are welcome to leave a message or private message in the background to provide your insights. --End--
[Event Preview] The next session of the Sci-Tech Creators Digital Intelligence Future Private Board is tentatively scheduled for July 16, 2022 (Saturday), with the theme "Guide to Theory - Timeless System Theory, Cybernetics and Information Theory". There are currently 3 pre-opened seats, only open to CEOs (audit system), registration can add 17801045882 (same as WeChat)
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