我不知道为什么我的“开始”预测不起作用。我对 pd.to_datetime
添加了一些编辑,但它们没有用。
这是我的代码:
pred = results.get_prediction(start=pd.to_datetime('2018-06-01'), dynamic=False)
pred_ci = pred.conf_int()
ax = y['2015':].plot(label='observed')
pred.predicted_mean.plot(ax=ax, label='One-step ahead Forecast', alpha=.7, figsize=(14, 4))
ax.fill_between(pred_ci.index,
pred_ci.iloc[:, 0],
pred_ci.iloc[:, 1], color='k', alpha=.2)
ax.set_xlabel('Date')
ax.set_ylabel('Retail_sold')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
而且我的错误日志总是指我的时间格式,我之前不得不重新采样我的数据,从每日数据到每月数据,然后才开始分析数据和解决数据,但我不知道为什么我的数据可以不能使用 pd.todatetime
读取。
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
KeyError Traceback (most recent call last)
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
pandas/_libs/hashtable_class_helper.pxi in pandas._libs.hashtable.Int64HashTable.get_item()
pandas/_libs/hashtable_class_helper.pxi in pandas._libs.hashtable.Int64HashTable.get_item()
KeyError: 1546300800000000000
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
KeyError Traceback (most recent call last)
/usr/local/lib/python3.6/dist-packages/pandas/core/indexes/base.py in get_loc(self, key, method, tolerance)
2896 try:
-> 2897 return self._engine.get_loc(key)
2898 except KeyError:
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
KeyError: Timestamp('2019-01-01 00:00:00')
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
KeyError Traceback (most recent call last)
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
pandas/_libs/hashtable_class_helper.pxi in pandas._libs.hashtable.Int64HashTable.get_item()
pandas/_libs/hashtable_class_helper.pxi in pandas._libs.hashtable.Int64HashTable.get_item()
KeyError: 1546300800000000000
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
KeyError Traceback (most recent call last)
11 frames
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
KeyError: Timestamp('2019-01-01 00:00:00')
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
KeyError Traceback (most recent call last)
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
pandas/_libs/index.pyx in pandas._libs.index.DatetimeEngine.get_loc()
KeyError: Timestamp('2019-01-01 00:00:00')
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
KeyError Traceback (most recent call last)
/usr/local/lib/python3.6/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/base/tsa_model.py in _get_prediction_index(self, start, end, index, silent)
522 start, start_index, start_oos = self._get_index_label_loc(start)
523 except KeyError:
--> 524 raise KeyError('The `start` argument could not be matched to a'
525 ' location related to the index of the data.')
526 if end is None:
KeyError: 'The `start` argument could not be matched to a location related to the index of the data.'
我使用了 Google Colab 和 Python 3.7。
有人能解决我的问题吗?
原文由 insiderhack 发布,翻译遵循 CC BY-SA 4.0 许可协议
这里的根本问题是您的数据没有具有关联频率的索引,因为您的数据会跳过几天(例如从 2016/2/5 到 2016/2/14)。